Callisto Wealth Management Ltd
Rainford Hall
Crank Road
Rainford
St Helens
WA11 7RP

Known unknowns

Individual investors may face many “known unknowns”—that is to say, things that they know they don’t know. The UK’s referendum on EU membership is one of them, confronting people with a large degree of uncertainty.

But it’s not necessary to “make the right call” on the referendum or its consequences to be a successful investor. Our approach is to trust the market to price securities fairly; to take account of broad expectations of future returns.

In arguing for the status quo, the “remain” campaign is able to point out familiar characteristics of membership.

The “out” campaign, however, is based on intangibles that can only be resolved after the result of the referendum is known. It is impossible for any individual to predict the implications of these unknowns with certainty.

But this is no cause for concern. While the referendum is imminent and its implications are potentially vast and unpredictable, it is not necessary for individual investors to make any judgement calls on the outcome. We have faced many uncertainties in the past—general elections, market crises, recessions, wars—and throughout all of them, the market has done its job of aggregating participants’ views about expected returns and priced assets accordingly.

And while these events have caused uncertainty, volatility and short-term losses and gains, none of them has altered the expectation that stocks provide a good long-term return in real terms.[1]

We have a global view of investing, and we know that the market is very good at processing information that is relevant to future returns. Because of this view, we don’t attempt to second-guess the market. We manage well-diversified portfolios that do not rely on the outcome of individual events or decisions to target the expected long-term return.

 

Why not pop in for a coffee and a chat about your plans and your investments. We’ll review your portfolio with you and give you a second opinion. If we think it is well-suited to your long-term goals, we’ll happily tell you so. But if we think it isn’t working as well as it should, we’ll explain why. Give us an hour and we’ll show you how to get the best out of your life and your money.

Please feel free to get in touch - enquiries@callistowealth.co.uk or phone 01744 881 421 We would love to hear from you
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